Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Methanol: Production

How Chinese coal came to dominate world capacity

What this tab covers Who makes it and how much: world capacity and output, utilisation, the top producing countries and companies globally and in India, concentration, new capacity coming, and each region's position.
MeasureFigureDetailSource
World capacitynearly 148 Mt a year excluding integrated CTO/CTP (2024); China 51%, Middle East 27 Mt, Latin America 8%Argus Methanol Analytics sample (Jun 2025)
World output111.8 Mt (2024, including CTO)Energy Aspects, MMSA data
Capacity utilisationabout 70% industry averageChina 60-70%, rest of world about 85% (Argus). Non-integrated Chinese MTO units idle when margins are negative; Methanex's 860 kt Titan unit in Trinidad was set to idle from end-Q3 2026.Argus (2025); Energy Aspects Q3 2026
ConcentrationChina 51% of capacity; top-10 producers under 30% of world capacityCountry concentration is high, firm concentration low because China has many coal-chemical producers.Argus (2025); S&P Global CEH Methanol (Feb 2026)
New capacityabout 15 Mt outside China in 2025-2029, plus 3.2 Mt of additions in 2026New plants in Iran, the US and Malaysia (Argus). Low-carbon pipeline of about 42.5 Mt by 2030 across 250+ projects, with 18.9 Mt in Argus's base case; Kassø e-methanol (42 kt, 2025); Sungas Renewables bio-methanol in Louisiana (FID, target 2028); EM-Numancia in Spain (EUR 320 million, priority status Oct 2026).Argus (2025); CRU BCInsight (Oct 2026)

Top producing countries

China 51% · about 75 Mt capacity (51% of 148 Mt) Middle East (Iran, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, Bahrain) 18% · 27 Mt capacity United States 8% · about 12.2 Mt capacity (Argus plant list, excluding Canada and Mexico) Latin America (Trinidad, Venezuela, Chile) 8% · about 12 Mt capacity
  • Russia: not verified
  • Southeast Asia (Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei): not verified; Malaysia is in the expansion pipeline
Argus (2025), derived; Argus (2025)

Largest producers: global

CompanyCountryVolumeYearSource
Methanex largest merchant seller; total capacity not verified; 860 kt Titan idled from end-Q3 2026 (Energy Aspects) Canada4.64 Mt capacity at Geismar 1-3 (4.0) and Medicine Hat (0.64) alone; also Trinidad, Chile, New Zealand, Egypt 2025Argus plant list (Jun 2025)
Koch MethanolUS1.7 Mt capacity (St James, Louisiana) 2025Argus (2025)
Fairway Methanol joint venture serving Celanese acetyls (indicative) US1.7 Mt capacity (Clear Lake, Texas) 2025Argus (2025)
NatgasolineUS1.65 Mt capacity (Beaumont, Texas) 2025Argus (2025)
LyondellBasellUS1.46 Mt capacity (Channelview 0.78, Deer Park 0.68) 2025Argus (2025)
Zagros Petrochemical and other Iranian producers Iran is in the Argus expansion pipeline; exports constrained by sanctions Irannot published 2025not verified
Chinese coal-chemical groups (e.g. CHN Energy, Baofeng) mostly captive for CTO Chinanot published 2025not verified

Largest producers: India

CompanyCountryVolumeYearSource
Assam Petrochemicals (APL) commissioned May 2024; gas from Oil India at $6.5/MMBtu APM price; net loss Rs 304 crore in FY2025 India0.165 Mt a year (500 t/day plant at Namrup, plus an old 100 t/day unit) 2025The Sentinel Assam (10 Sep 2025); tonnes a year derived at 330 days
Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals (GNFC) Crisil (2026) says most Indian plants have cut rates or shut because imports are cheaper Indianot published 2026named as a main producer by NITI Aayog; capacity not verified
Deepak Fertilisers, RCF, NFL national capacity was only 0.474 Mt in 2015-16 Indianot published 2026named by NITI Aayog; capacity not verified

India imported about 3.4 Mt in calendar 2025 (S&P Global) and 3.57 Mt in FY2026, about 98% of its needs (Crisil). Oman supplied about 1.6 Mt in 2025 and Saudi Arabia 0.95 Mt. Domestic plants on imported LNG cannot compete; coal gasification under a Rs 37,500 crore programme is the government's answer (Crisil, 2026).

Position by region

RegionPosition
USGas-based capacity of about 12.9 Mt (Argus) on Henry Hub gas; a net exporter, about 21% of world exports in 2025 (Crisil).
EUHigh-cost producer on TTF gas; demand growth below 1% in 2026 (Energy Aspects); BASF declared force majeure at Ludwigshafen in July 2026 (ChemAnalyst).
IndiaAbout 98% import dependent; Hormuz disruption in 2026 cut Middle East supply to India by 82% y/y in May and pushed domestic prices up 182% (Crisil, Jul 2026).
ChinaLargest producer and consumer; still imports about 15 Mt a year, much of it from Iran (Energy Aspects).
JapanImports most needs; 1.5 Mt demand (Argus 2024); buyers are interested in low-carbon methanol for fuel.
Middle EastAbout 28% of world exports in 2025; in 2026 Qatar and SABIC declared force majeure and over 4.5 Mt of production was estimated to be affected by end-May (Crisil, Jul 2026).