Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Real estate: Chokepoints and risks

Developers, landlords and managers of homes, offices, warehouses and shops

Chokepoints and risks

  • Interest-rate rises cut both mortgage demand and the value of rented property, as the 2022-24 global downturn showed.
  • Approval delays and title disputes stall Indian projects; RERA has reduced but not removed delivery risk.
  • Developer leverage and pre-sale funding mean a sales slowdown can quickly turn into stalled projects, as after the 2018 NBFC crisis.
  • Office demand depends heavily on IT firms and global capability centres, so tech hiring cycles drive vacancy.
  • Land and approvals are local, so city-level oversupply can hit even strong national brands.