Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Hydrogen: Regulation

Invisible flames and China's grip on electrolysers

Invisible flames and China's grip on electrolysers What this tab covers How it is regulated and what could disrupt supply: hazard classification, rules in the EU, US and India, anti-dumping duties and other trade measures, and supply-risk notes.

Hazards

ClassificationUN numberKey risks
Flammable gas cat 1A; gas under pressureUN1049Invisible flame, leaks easily, wide flammability range; ignition energy very low.

Main rules

WhereRuleEffect
EURED III RFNBO targets (42% of industrial hydrogen renewable by 2030); Delegated Acts on additionality; CBAM covers hydrogen from 2026creates demand for green hydrogen and taxes embedded carbon in imports
US45V clean hydrogen production credit, tiered by lifecycle intensity, up to $3/kg (indicative)main driver of US green and blue projects
JapanHydrogen Society Promotion Act (2024) with 15-year price-gap support (indicative)supports imports of ammonia and hydrogen

India

RuleEffect
National Green Hydrogen Mission (2023): 5 Mt a year target by 2030; SIGHT incentivessubsidised tenders for green hydrogen and ammonia
Green Hydrogen Standard for India (MNRE, 2023): at most 2 kg CO2e per kg H2, well-to-gate (indicative)defines what counts as green for incentives
Gas Cylinders Rules 2016 and SMPV(U) Rules 2016 under PESOlicensing of storage and transport

Trade measures

  • EU CBAM from 1 Jan 2026 covers hydrogen (CN 2804 10)
  • Barriers to Chinese electrolysers outside China remain (IEA 2025)

Supply risk

Feedstock risk, not geological: grey hydrogen follows gas prices. Electrolyser supply is concentrated in China (nearly 60% of manufacturing capacity). Hydrogen itself is not on the EU, US or India critical minerals lists; the platinum group metals and iridium used in PEM electrolysers are.