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Thermal coal: Stocks

Why China's coal could run short long before America's

Why China's coal could run short long before America's What this tab covers How much is left and how much is held. For minerals and energy: reserves, current output, years of supply and recycling for the top five countries. For farm commodities: production, ending stocks and stocks-to-use for the top five producers (USDA, October 2026). It also covers inventories and stockpiles.

Top five countries: reserves, output and years of supply

CountryReserves Mt proved reserves, all coal ranks (end-2020) Current output Mt produced, all coal (2024) Years of supplyRecycling
United States248,941465536n/a
Russia162,166427380n/a
Australia150,227463325n/a
China143,1974,78030n/a
India111,0521,085102n/a
Energy Institute Statistical Review of World Energy 2025 (coal reserves at end-2020, includes BGR data, not updated since; coal production 2024). Reserves and output include coking coal. Years = reserves / 2024 output.. Years of supply = reserves ÷ current output; reserves grow as prices and technology change, so this is not a countdown.

Recycling

Coal is burned, so it is not recycled; a large share of fly ash is reused in cement and bricks in many countries (indicative; rates vary widely by country). The relevant buffers are plant stockpiles: India's Central Electricity Authority sets minimum coal stocks at power plants in days of burn, and China holds state reserve stockpiles. World proved reserves were 1,074 billion tonnes at end-2020, about 116 years of 2024 output, so geology is not the constraint; climate policy and cost are (Energy Institute).

Proved coal reserves were 1,074 billion tonnes at end-2020, about 139 years of output (Energy Institute). The US holds 23%, Russia 15%, Australia 14%, China 13% and India 10%. Lifetimes differ widely: China's reserves equal just 37 years of its output, while the US figure exceeds 500. Coal is burned, so nothing is recycled, though fly ash goes into cement. Coal keeps well in stockpiles, and the coal stocks held at Chinese and Indian power plants are closely watched before summer and winter demand peaks.