Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Passive solar and natural cooling: Impact on the biosphere

Protecting people in heatwaves without heating the planet

What this tab covers Effects on human, animal, plant, fungal and microbial life and on whole ecosystems: in the short term (construction and early years), medium term (operating life) and long term (decommissioning and legacy).

Passive design is mostly beneficial: it avoids the electricity and refrigerant emissions of air conditioning and protects people from heat. Space cooling uses about 2,200 TWh a year and causes about 1 Gt of CO2. Specific risks are limited to water use and seawater-cooling discharge.

World electricity for space cooling about 2,200 TWh a year2 CO2 from cooling electricity about 1 Gt a year (about 3% of global emissions)2 Share of US building primary energy used for air conditioning nearly 15%4

Effects over time

Life affectedShort termMedium termLong term
Humans2Little evidence of harm beyond normal building risks.Cooler interiors without electricity protect health in heatwaves; about 700 million more people could live in hot climates by 2050, and over 40% of people in hot climates may still lack cooling then.Buildings designed for passive comfort keep working when power supply fails.
Animals5Little evidence of effect.Seawater cooling returns deep water to the sea; South Pacific experience suggests marine life and coral reefs can thrive near outlets.Little evidence of effect.
Plants2Little evidence of effect.Planted trees are used for shading in passive cooling.Little evidence of effect.
Fungi and soil life2Little evidence of effect.Little evidence of effect.Little evidence of effect.
Ecosystems2Little evidence of effect.Avoided cooling electricity cuts power-sector emissions; refrigerant leakage from air conditioners adds about another 1 Gt CO2e a year.With better design and efficient equipment, 2050 cooling demand could be about 1,200 TWh instead of up to 5,000 TWh.

How the effects are reduced

The main risk is a design wrong for the climate: unshaded glazing overheats, and evaporative coolers waste water in humid regions. Climate-specific building codes, shading and auto-flush rather than continuous bleed-off address these. Seawater systems need assessment of the outlet so that returned water does not harm reefs.

Sources

  1. Buildings Decarbonisation Report: Summary, Cooling Energy Transitions Commission, 2025
  2. Passive radiative cooling below ambient air temperature under direct sunlight (Raman, Anoma, Zhu, Rephaeli and Fan, Nature 515, 540-544) Nature, 2014
  3. Sustainable cooling: a deep dive into seawater air-conditioning solutions for the Caribbean World Bank Blogs, 2024