Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Renewable diesel and SAF: Production

The American giants and Neste's global build-out

The American giants and Neste's global build-out What this tab covers Who makes it and how much: world capacity and output, utilisation, the top producing countries and companies globally and in India, concentration, new capacity coming, and each region's position.
MeasureFigureDetailSource
World capacityUS renewable diesel and other biofuels 4.97 billion gallons a year (1 Jan 2026, about 15 Mt); Neste to reach 6.8 Mt a year in 2027EIA capacity report via OPIS, 25 Sep 2026 (capacity at 1 Jan 2026); Neste Financial Statements Release 2025 (Feb 2026)
World outputabout 16-19 Mt (2025, indicative); US renewable diesel about 2.92 billion gallons (derived from 243 million gallons a month); SAF 1.9 Mtfarmdoc daily, Jun 2026; IATA press release No. 57, 9 Dec 2025
Capacity utilisationUS renewable diesel about 61% (2025)Capacity outran feedstock and credit value in 2023-25; IATA says installed SAF capacity is not fully used for lack of policy support.farmdoc daily, Jun 2026; IATA press release No. 57, 9 Dec 2025
Concentrationtop country about half; Neste and Diamond Green Diesel together hold roughly 45-50% of world supply (indicative, basis: Neste 4.1 Mt sales and DGD output of perhaps 3.5-4.5 Mt from 1.6 billion gallons (about 4.7 Mt) of capacity, against about 17.5 Mt)Concentration is high because HEFA needs scale, hydrogen and global feedstock sourcing.Neste Financial Statements Release 2025 (Feb 2026); EIA capacity report via OPIS, 25 Sep 2026 (capacity at 1 Jan 2026) (derived, indicative)
New capacityNeste to 6.8 Mt a year by 2027; Moeve Huelva +0.5 Mt; US renewable diesel 4.32 billion gallons projected in 2026 and 4.56 billion in 2027e-SAF capacity is about 0.02 Mt against about 0.6 Mt needed for EU and UK 2030 mandates, which would need about 20 commercial plants (IATA, Jun 2026).Neste Financial Statements Release 2025 (Feb 2026); European Biodiesel Board Statistical Report 2025-2026 (Jun 2026); farmdoc daily, Jun 2026; IATA Jun 2026

Top producing countries

United States 49% · about 8.6 Mt renewable diesel (2025, derived: about 2.92 billion gallons) European Union 24% · about 3.9 Mt HVO plus 0.3 Mt HEFA SAF (2025) Singapore 13% · about 2-2.5 Mt (Neste Singapore, indicative) China 7% · about 1-1.5 Mt HVO and SAF, largely exported (indicative) Others (Japan, Korea, Thailand, India) 7% · about 1 Mt (indicative) farmdoc daily, Jun 2026 (derived); European Biodiesel Board Statistical Report 2025-2026 (Jun 2026); indicative

Largest producers: global

CompanyCountryVolumeYearSource
Neste Porvoo, Rotterdam, Singapore and Martinez JV; 6.8 Mt a year capacity in 2027 Finland4,134 kt renewable products sold 2025Neste Financial Statements Release 2025 (Feb 2026)
Diamond Green Diesel (Valero and Darling Ingredients) Darling supplies rendered fats US1.595 billion gallons a year capacity (Norco 982 + Port Arthur 613 million) Jan 2026EIA capacity report via OPIS, 25 Sep 2026 (capacity at 1 Jan 2026)
Phillips 66 (Rodeo) converted California refinery (indicative) USnot published 2025not retrieved
Eni (Enilive) Venice and Gela biorefineries (indicative) Italynot published 2025not retrieved
Moeve and Bio-Oils (Huelva) EUR 1.2 billion investment Spain0.5 Mt a year added; over 1.2 Mt a year at the complex 2026-27European Biodiesel Board Statistical Report 2025-2026 (Jun 2026)
TotalEnergies La Mède and Grandpuits (indicative) Francenot published 2025not retrieved

Largest producers: India

CompanyCountryVolumeYearSource
Indian Oil Corporation (Panipat) first Indian SAF with international certification, Dec 2025 India30 kt a year SAF capacity 2025USDA FAS India Biofuels Annual (Jul 2026) via BioEnergy Times, 14 Aug 2026

India has no commercial HVO plant; Indian Oil's 30 kt a year Panipat SAF unit is the only certified producer. India's SAF target of 1% for international flights from 2027, 2% in 2028 and 5% by 2030 (set out by the civil aviation minister on 30 July 2026; the national SAF policy is still a draft) will need more units; UCO and ethanol (ATJ) are the likely feedstocks.

Position by region

RegionPosition
USLargest producer; credit stack of RFS RINs (1.7 RINs per gallon), California LCFS and 45Z (imports excluded) decides margins.
EUHVO demand 3.89 Mt and HEFA 1.23 Mt in 2025; 1.76 Mt HVO imported (EBB). ReFuelEU sets 6% SAF by 2030.
IndiaSAF target of 1% for international flights from 2027, in line with CORSIA (national policy still in draft, Jul 2026); Indian Oil 30 kt a year.
ChinaExports HVO and SAF made from UCO to Europe and Singapore (indicative).
JapanSAF target of 10% by 2030 for airlines (indicative); refiners building HEFA units.
Middle EastNot a producer at scale; potential e-SAF location.