Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Renewable diesel and SAF: Trading

California, Sweden, Germany and the Netherlands: the big buyers

What this tab covers How it is bought and sold: buyers and sellers, price benchmarks and who publishes them, exchanges, contract types, traders, how Indian buyers price it, recent price points, and good sources to follow.

Who buys, and where

  • California, Sweden, Germany, Netherlands fuel distributors
  • Airlines and fuel suppliers at EU, UK and US airports

Who sells, and from where

  • US Gulf (DGD), Singapore and Rotterdam (Neste), China
  • EU refineries

Price benchmarks

BenchmarkPublisherBasis
HVO class II FOB ARAArgus / S&P Global Plattsdaily spot
SAF (HEFA-SPK) FOB ARA and CIF NWEArgus / Plattsdaily spot
US West Coast renewable dieselOPISdaily spot

Exchanges

VenueContractNotes
ICE Futures Europelow sulphur gasoil and jet swapsused for the fossil part of the price (indicative)
CBOTsoybean oil futuresfeedstock hedge

Contract types

  • Multi-year SAF offtakes between airlines and producers
  • Book-and-claim SAF certificates
  • Term HVO supply to fuel distributors priced off gasoil plus premium

Traders and distributors

  • Neste, Shell, BP, TotalEnergies, Vitol, World Fuel Services (indicative)

How Indian buyers price it

  • No traded HVO or SAF market yet; SAF for 2027 mandate expected to be priced by OMCs at import parity of SAF benchmarks (indicative)

Recent price points

DatePriceBasisSource
2025about 2x fossil jet; up to 5x in mandated marketsSAF, worldIATA press release No. 57, 9 Dec 2025
Q4 2025$479/t marginNeste renewable products comparable sales marginNeste Financial Statements Release 2025 (Feb 2026)

Good sources to follow

IATA SAF releasesfree research site · IATA

SAF production, cost and policy

Neste investor releasesfree research site · Neste

HVO and SAF margins, volumes, capacity

Biofuels Digestfreemium newsletter · Biofuels Digest

SAF, renewable diesel and advanced biofuel projects

farmdoc dailyfree blog · University of Illinois

US renewable diesel economics and RFS analysis