Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Coffee

Roasted seed of a tropical shrub: a high-value, weather-exposed crop grown by smallholders and drunk mostly in richer countries.

Softs · No. 98

  • Not on a critical list
  • HHI 1,418 · unconcentrated
Softs · Foundation · Matter

A single frost in Brazil can lift the price of your morning cup, because one country grows almost a third.

Chart: Illustration: Coffee

Where it comes from

Chart: Map of where it comes from

Arabica grows in cool highlands and is prized for flavour; Robusta tolerates hot lowlands. Frost or drought can hurt trees for more than one season. Output was 11.28 Mt in 2024.

Three things to know
  1. World green coffee output nearly doubled, from 6.06 Mt in 1990 to 11.28 Mt in 2024.
  2. Switzerland, Germany and Italy rank among top exporters by value because they roast imported beans and sell them on.
  3. In real 2010 dollars, Arabica averaged $7.29/kg in 2025, about 2.6 times its 2013 level of $2.80.
The journey
  1. 1 CherriesArabica or Robusta picked from shrubs
  2. 2 ProcessingWet or dry processed to parchment
  3. 3 Green beansHulled and graded by size and defects
  4. 4 ExportShipped in bags or bulk containers
  5. 5 RoastingRoasted, ground or made instant
Covered in What makes something a commodityCommoditiesFrom ground to marketCommoditiesSupply, demand and the cost curveCommoditiesPrices and cyclesCommoditiesHow commodities tradeCommoditiesHow commodities moveCommoditiesand 1 more
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