Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Groundnuts: Characteristics

Runner, Virginia or Bold: how type and size set price

What this tab covers The supply and physical characteristics of the commodity. Supply: current production, inventories and stocks, capacity utilisation, geographic and producer concentration, how fast supply responds to price, the project pipeline and capital spending, and logistics and export flows. Material: the physical and chemical properties that set its grade, price and end uses (for example purity and conductivity for metals, API gravity, sulfur and energy content for fuels, moisture, protein and fibre quality for crops).

Supply volume characteristics

CharacteristicFigureWhat it meansSource
Current production volumeabout 57.6 Mt in-shell (FAOSTAT 2024); 50.1 Mt forecast for 2026/27 (USDA basis)China (34%) and India (21%) grow over half. India produced 13.07 Mt in 2025-26 (3rd advance estimate), 43.6% of it in Gujarat in 2024-25.FAOSTAT 2024; USDA PSD; Ministry of Agriculture
Inventory and stock levelsworld ending stocks 4.1 Mt forecast for 2026/27, 8.1% of use, about 30 daysGroundnuts are semi-perishable, so stocks sit with shellers and food makers. The US held 1.45 Mt at end-2025/26. India has no buffer norm; NAFED buys at MSP (Rs 7,263/quintal in 2025-26) when prices fall. USDA puts India's stocks at about 0.4 Mt.USDA PSD; content of this tile
Capacity utilisationnot publishedIndian shelling and crushing in Saurashtra is fragmented across many small units. Crush varies with the crop and export demand: 38.9% of world use was crushed in 2025/26.USDA PSD
Geographic and producer concentrationtop country China 34.1%, top-3 (China, India, Nigeria) 62.3%, HHI 1,725 (2024); exports: Argentina 22.7%, top-3 60.2% of valueArgentina, India and the US lead exports; China, the Netherlands and Indonesia lead imports. Olam/ofi, Golden Peanut (ADM), Birdsong and Shandong Luhua are large shellers and processors.FAOSTAT 2024; UN Comtrade 2024
Supply elasticityshort-run moderate: annual crop, but mostly rain-fed in India and AfricaIn India output depends on the monsoon more than price: 87% of the crop is kharif. Farmers in Gujarat switch between groundnut and cotton.Ministry of Agriculture; USDA
Project pipeline and CapExno capacity projects trackedIndia's crop rose from 11.94 Mt (2024-25) to 13.07 Mt (2025-26). Growth comes from yields and high-oleic varieties rather than new plants.Ministry of Agriculture
Logistics and export flowssmall traded share: Argentina exported about 1.15 Mt and India about 1.0 Mt; world exports worth $3.9 bn (2024)Routes: Cordoba to Rosario and Europe; Saurashtra to Mundra and Kandla for Indonesia, Vietnam and China; US to the EU and Mexico. Aflatoxin rejections at EU borders are the main bottleneck.UN Comtrade 2024; content of this tile

Material characteristics Agricultural / soft commodity

Groundnuts are sold as in-shell nuts, kernels for food, or crushing stock. Kernel size (count per ounce), type (Runner, Virginia, Spanish, Indian Bold and Java) and aflatoxin level set price and market access. Oil content matters for crushing, and high-oleic varieties give longer shelf life for snacks and peanut butter.

PropertyValue / specificationWhy it mattersSource
AflatoxinEU: at most 4 micrograms/kg total (2 for B1) for direct consumption; Codex: 15 micrograms/kg total for peanuts for further processingLots that fail are rejected at the border or diverted to crushingEU Regulation 2023/915; Codex CXS 193-1995
Kernel counte.g. Indian Bold 38/42 or 40/50, Java 50/60 or 60/70 kernels per ounceSize grade sets price and end useAPEDA / trade specs (indicative)
Moistureabout 7-8% maximum for kernelsWet nuts grow Aspergillus mould, which makes aflatoxintrade specs (indicative)
Oil contentabout 45-50% of kernel; world crush oil yield 32.6% of in-shell weightSets crushing valueUSDA PSD derived
Oleic/linoleic ratiohigh-oleic varieties about 75-80% oleicSlows rancidity in snacks and peanut butterbreeding literature (indicative)
Foreign matter and damaged kernelsset by buyer contract and US/APEDA gradesAffects sorting cost and food safetyUSDA FGIS; APEDA (indicative)