Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Palm oil: Stocks

The monthly Malaysian number every trader watches

What this tab covers How much is left and how much is held. For minerals and energy: reserves, current output, years of supply and recycling for the top five countries. For farm commodities: production, ending stocks and stocks-to-use for the top five producers (USDA, October 2026). It also covers inventories and stockpiles.

Top five producers: production and stocks (USDA, 2026/27)

CountryProductionShareEnding stocksStocks-to-use
Indonesia45,00057%3,7668.3%
Malaysia19,60024.8%2,22510.9%
Thailand3,7204.7%41210.6%
Colombia2,0002.5%70233.9%
Nigeria1,5001.9%723.7%
World78,920100%13,70017.5%
thousand t. Stocks-to-use = ending stocks ÷ (domestic use + exports) for countries, ÷ world use for the world. Source: USDA FAS PSD database, October 2026 release; 2026/27 figures are projections.

Stockholding and policy

No recycling applies; used cooking oil is collected for biodiesel in some markets. Stocks to watch are producer-country inventories: Malaysia ended 2025 with 3.05 Mt (up 79%, MPOB) and Indonesia with 2.07 Mt of CPO plus PKO (GAPKI). India holds no strategic edible oil reserve in the sources found; it manages supply through import duties, which it cut in May 2025. India's crude palm oil futures are suspended by SEBI since 20 December 2021; the ban on seven agri contracts (incl. soybean and derivatives, crude palm oil, mustard) was extended to 31 March 2027 (The Week/PTI, 27 March 2026).

Crude palm oil keeps for months in tanks but slowly loses quality, so stocks turn over faster than grains. The key monthly indicator is Malaysian end-month stocks, published by the Malaysian Palm Oil Board, which traders watch closely. The trees themselves are the long-term stock: yields respond to rainfall with a lag of many months. Ageing trees and slow replanting reduce future output regardless of current prices.