Material Insights · Understanding the Material World

Soybeans: Stocks

When the world uses more soy than it grows

What this tab covers How much is left and how much is held. For minerals and energy: reserves, current output, years of supply and recycling for the top five countries. For farm commodities: production, ending stocks and stocks-to-use for the top five producers (USDA, October 2026). It also covers inventories and stockpiles.

Top five producers: production and stocks (USDA, 2026/27)

CountryProductionShareEnding stocksStocks-to-use
Brazil186,00042%37,28019.9%
United States124,10028%8,5726.9%
Argentina50,00011.3%24,07042.9%
China21,0004.7%44,26032.5%
Paraguay11,1002.5%3553.2%
World442,700100%124,30028.1%
thousand t. Stocks-to-use = ending stocks ÷ (domestic use + exports) for countries, ÷ world use for the world. Source: USDA FAS PSD database, October 2026 release; 2026/27 figures are projections.

Stockholding and policy

No recycling applies. World ending stocks were 124.9 Mt in 2025/26, a 28.9% stocks-to-use ratio, and China held 44.4 Mt of them (35%), partly in Sinograin state reserves (WASDE Oct 2026). India holds no strategic soybean stock; NAFED and NCCF stocks bought at MSP (about 20 lakh t in 2024-25) are auctioned back to crushers. India's soybean futures are suspended by SEBI since 20 December 2021; the ban on seven agri contracts (incl. soybean and derivatives, crude palm oil, mustard) was extended to 31 March 2027 (The Week/PTI, 27 March 2026).

Whole beans store well; meal and oil keep less well. USDA's October 2026 WASDE puts 2025/26 world ending stocks at 124.9 Mt, a stocks-to-use ratio of 28.9%, down from 30.6% in 2024/25. Use of 432 Mt exceeds output of 429 Mt. China holds 44.4 Mt, about 36% of the total, a smaller share than for maize or wheat. Seasonal tightness matters. US old-crop supplies dwindle from spring until the new crop arrives in late August (Morgan, pdf p. 455). In 1973 only 2 million tons was left over from the previous crop, and prices topped $10 a bushel (pdf p. 311).

World stocks (USDA)

SeasonProductionUseEnding stocksStocks-to-useof which China
2024/25428.1412.112630.6%35%
2025/26 Est.429.2432.3124.928.9%36%
million t. USDA WASDE, 10 October 2026. The 2026/27 projections were blank in this release.